NFL Week 1: Pickin on the NFL

Fatpickle picks nothing but WINNERS! I'm Jimmy the Greek and I endorse this message.

Here’s the rest of my week 1 picks. My goal for this year is to be 70% correct on straight up (SU) picks and 55% correct against the spread (ATS). Last season my final numbers were:

171-78 .69% SU
107-117 .48% ATS

MIA-3 @ BUF BUF 17 MIA 16

Not sure why I’m picking Buffalo here, they’re probably a 4 win team at best, so I guess they get one of them here. They always seem to play the Dolphins tough.

DET @ CHI -6.5 CHI 27 DET 17 (Survivor Lock of the Week)

Jay Cutler stunk last season but he still threw for 5 TD’s in 2 games against the Lions. Both Cutler and the Bears will be better this year, Bears get the win at home.

IND-2 @ HOU IND 21 HOU 20

Houston is the popular choice here and they may indeed win but I’m still picking the Colts for no particular reason.

DEN @ JAC-2.5 DEN 23 JAC 20

I’m pretty sure this is the season Jack Del Rio finally gets himself fired…but I’ve been saying that for 3 years. Look for a Tim Tebow goal line score, just got a feeling.

CIN @ NEP-5.5 NEP 24 CIN 21

The Patriots just aren’t the dynasty they used to be but they’re still tough at home, that may be too many points!

CAR @ NYG-6.5 NYG 23 CAR 17

I’m not sold on Matt Moore, then again I’m still not sold on Eli Manning and he’s got a Super Bowl ring, oh well.

ATL-1.5 @ PIT ATL 21 PIT 17

This is a game that I wouldn’t touch with a 10 foot pole if I was actually betting.

CLE @ TBB-2.5 CLE 20 TBB 16

The Bucs are terrible and so is Raheem Morris. I heard the over/under for the Bucs season wins is 5.5, that’s easy money take the under.

OAK @ TEN-6.5 TEN 27 OAK 14

Oakland will be better, but starting the season with an east coast game against the Titans will not equal a victory.

GBP-3 @ PHI GBP 27 PHI 20

I think it’s a joke the SI and other media are picking the Eagles to win the NFC East, this team goes backwards this year.

SFF-3 @ SEA SFF 23 @ SEA 17

The 49er’s were my pick to win their division last year, I was a year off.

ARI-3.5 @ STL STL 17 ARI 16

Here’s an upset, Sam Bradford has looked good in the pre-season and Derek Anderson is as accurate as a morning wood piss.

DAL-3.5 @ WAS WAS 21 DAL 20 (Upset Special)

DC will be fired up and the Redskins will be prepared, this is an W my friends.

BAL @ NYJ-1.5 BAL 17 NYJ 13

I just don’t think that the Jets are a Super Bowl contender. However, if Joe Flacco can eliminate mistakes, the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender.

SDC-5 @ KCC SDC 30 KCC 17

I picked this game to have the largest margin of victory. That being said it’s always tough to play in KC and anything can happen. Confused? Yes I am.

Cheers and Hail